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POINTCAST public signal deskBUSINESS FEELS / V.01

A little context for the big picture

Business
feels.

The cost of money.
The price of things.
The world between them.

A quiet desk for signals that reach an ordinary business: rates, currencies, prices, and jobs. See the number, check its date, then ask what it changes.

DATED PUBLIC OBSERVATIONS

Bundled snapshot · each signal keeps its own date

Reference data and educational scenarios. Published observations can lag; currencies are reference rates, not executable quotes. Policy decisions, market yields, and loan offers measure different things.

01 / What’s on your radar

Watch the moving parts.

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Keep signals on your radar · saved on this device
6 signals

policy / Decision based

snapshot

Fed target · upper bound

4 %

Observed 2026-09-17

A policy rate influences borrowing costs and cash yields, but it is not a loan quote or the rate every borrower pays.

What moves it · compare · data

Central banks weigh inflation, employment, growth and financial conditions when setting policy.

Read the source ↗

policy / Decision based

snapshot

ECB deposit facility

2.5 %

Observed 2026-09-16

The deposit facility anchors short-term euro interest rates and feeds into euro-area financing conditions.

What moves it · compare · data

Central banks weigh inflation, employment, growth and financial conditions when setting policy.

Read the source ↗

yields / Daily, U.S. business days

stale

U.S. Treasury · 10y

5.28 %

Observed 2026-10-02

Treasury yields give a dated benchmark for U.S. dollar funding. Longer-term borrowing also includes credit risk, lender margins and fees.

What moves it · compare · data

Bond prices and yields respond to expected policy, inflation, growth and demand for safe assets.

Read the source ↗

economy / Monthly

snapshot

U.S. inflation · CPI

3.4 % YoY

Observed 2026-08-01

Inflation affects purchasing power, input-cost planning and the interest-rate outlook.

What moves it · compare · data

Consumer price inflation changes with goods and services prices, shelter and energy; the year-over-year comparison also depends on last year’s base.

Read the source ↗

economy / Monthly

snapshot

U.S. unemployment

4.2 %

Observed 2026-09-01

Labor conditions help frame household demand, hiring plans and wage pressure.

What moves it · compare · data

Unemployment changes with hiring, job separations and whether people enter or leave the labor force.

Read the source ↗

economy / Monthly

snapshot

U.S. payroll change

29 thousand jobs

Observed 2026-09-01

The monthly job change is a broad signal of demand and hiring momentum, rather than a forecast of any one industry.

What moves it · compare · data

Payroll growth reflects employers adding and removing jobs; recent observations can be revised.

Read the source ↗

02 / The shape of borrowing

Same day.
Different horizons.

Treasury yields show the return on US government debt at different maturities. They help frame financing costs; a business loan also includes credit risk, fees, and a lender’s margin.

An inverted curve means shorter yields exceed longer ones. It is a signal to investigate, not a promised recession.

US Treasury’s daily table ↗

Daily Treasury par yields · date from source

One publication date across tenors; missing tenors stay missing.

03 / Put a number in context

Small tools. Clear assumptions.

A dated reference / ECB

What does it translate to?

Convert a planning amount with one dated table of EUR reference rates. No spread, fees, or transaction price is included.

Reference table loading…

ECB reference methodology ↗

An educational model / your assumptions

What if the rate changes?

Explore a fixed-rate, fully amortizing loan. These inputs are assumptions you control; they are not lending terms or a forecast.

Monthly payments; no fees, taxes, insurance, balloon payment, or variable resets. Personal inputs remain in this page and are not sent to a server.

04 / Read across, not in isolation

What’s the business question?

01

Borrowing & cash

Policy rates guide overnight money. Treasury yields price different horizons. Ask when your debt resets, how much cash earns, and whether fixed or floating costs matter.

02

Buying across borders

A stronger home currency can lower foreign-currency input costs, while making exports more expensive abroad. Check the currency on the invoice before drawing a conclusion.

03

Pricing & demand

CPI tracks a household basket, not your exact costs. Jobs offer a view of labor demand and income. Compare them with your own unit costs, customer mix, and hiring plans.

05 / Leave the dates attached

A source for every signal.

“Fresh” means a successful permitted read with an observation inside the stated age threshold. “Snapshot” is bundled evidence. “Stale” means the observation is older than that threshold. A successful fetch never makes an old observation current.

Provider health and freshness · retrieval time is separate from observation date
SourceCoverageStatusLast successful readNotes
A short glossary
Percentage point
The difference between two percentages. From 4% to 5% is a rise of 1 percentage point, or 100 basis points.
Reference FX rate
A published currency benchmark for context. Banks and payment providers quote their own executable prices.
Year over year
A comparison with the same period one year earlier. Revisions and seasonal methods can affect the result.
Policy rate
A central bank’s administered rate or target. The Fed’s target is a range; it is distinct from the realized effective rate.
Par yield
The coupon rate that would price a bond at face value, estimated by Treasury for constant maturities.
Monthly jobs change
The change in nonfarm payroll employment from the previous month, seasonally adjusted; estimates can be revised.
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A desk for noticing.
Keep the context with the number.

BUSINESS FEELS / PUBLIC DATA / V.01